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Quantitative Finance · المسرد

ما معنى Flow toxicity, VPIN؟

يُعرف أيضًا باسم: flow toxicity · VPIN

Definition 9.5 Research Craft: Predictors, Backtests, Measurement, Portfolios · الفصل 9 — Trade-Flow Features

Flow toxicity is the adverse selection that order flow imposes on the liquidity providers who trade against it: its aggressors are informed, and the resting side loses on average. VPIN (volume-synchronised probability of informed trading) cuts the trade sequence into buckets of equal volume VV and, at the end of each bucket, averages ∣VτB−VτS∣/V|V^B_\tau - V^S_\tau|/V over the last nn buckets, with VτBV^B_\tau and VτSV^S_\tau the bucket’s buy and sell volume.

The toxic episode (shaded, minutes 90 to 100) seen by VPIN (top: 400 buckets of 2 649 shares, window of 20) and by the aggressors’ mark-out ten seconds after each trade (bottom: rolling one-minute mean, plotted when known). The mark-out turns strongly positive; VPIN spikes as the episode starts, but its mean over the episode rises only 13% and its maximum falls outside it. Data: firm.tape, seed 9.
Figure 9.4. The toxic episode (shaded, minutes 90 to 100) seen by VPIN (top: 400 buckets of 2 649 shares, window of 20) and by the aggressors’ mark-out ten seconds after each trade (bottom: rolling one-minute mean, plotted when known). The mark-out turns strongly positive; VPIN spikes as the episode starts, but its mean over the episode rises only 13% and its maximum falls outside it. Data: firm.tape, seed 9.
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