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Quantitative Finance · Glossary

What is Gaussian copula?

Definition 15.2 Rates, Credit, XVA and Risk · Chapter 15 — Portfolio Credit

In the one-factor Gaussian copula each name has a latent variable Xi=ρ Z+1−ρ εiX_i = \sqrt\rho\,Z+\sqrt{1-\rho}\,\varepsilon_i with Z,εiZ,\varepsilon_i independent standard normals, and defaults by tt if Xi<N−1(pi(t))X_i < N^{-1}(p_i(t)), where pi(t)=1−Qi(t)p_i(t) = 1-Q_i(t). Each marginal is respected; ρ\rho, the correlation of the latent variables (the asset correlation), sets the dependence.

Examples

Example 15.11 (Tails)

At an asset correlation of 25%, the probability that the pool loses more than 12% in five years is 2.24% under the Gaussian copula and 5.23% under the Student-t copula with four degrees of freedom; for a loss above 24%, 0.13% against 1.13%, 8.6 times more (Figure 15.4). Senior tranches priced with the Gaussian copula at one correlation look cheap for the same reason the skew exists: the market prices more tail than the Gaussian gives.

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