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Quantitative Finance · Glossaire

Qu'est-ce que « Implied move » ?

Definition 4.1 Strategies II: Volatility, Relative Value, Macro and the Bank Desks · Chapitre 4 — Gamma Scalping and Event Volatility

The implied move of a scheduled event is the expected absolute return on the event day that option prices imply. Under a normal event return with the event variance EE extracted from the term structure it is 2/π E\sqrt{2/\pi}\,\sqrt{E}. Traders often approximate it by the price of the at-the-money straddle expiring just after the event, as a share of the stock price.

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