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Quantitative Finance · Glossário

O que é Label overlap, purging, embargo, combinatorial purged cross-validation?

Também chamado de: label overlap · purging · embargo · combinatorial purged cross-validation

Definition 20.5 Research Craft: Predictors, Backtests, Measurement, Portfolios · Capítulo 20 — Overfitting

Label overlap occurs when the targets of different observations share periods, as hh-day forward returns observed every day do. Purging removes from the training set every observation whose label overlaps in time the labels of the test set; an embargo also removes the training observations that immediately follow the test set, since features are serially correlated. Combinatorial purged cross-validation (CPCV) uses every choice of kk test folds out of nn, purged and embargoed, recombining the test folds into (nk)k/n\binom{n}{k}k/n backtest paths (López de Prado, 2018; as implemented in open-source libraries such as skfolio).

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