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Quantitative Finance · Glossaire

Qu'est-ce que « Markov chain Monte Carlo, Metropolis–Hastings, Gibbs sampler » ?

Aussi appelé : Markov chain Monte Carlo · Metropolis--Hastings algorithm · Gibbs sampler

Definition 14.8 Quantitative Methods · Chapitre 14 — Bayesian Methods

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) draws from a density π\pi known up to a constant by running a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is π\pi. The Metropolis–Hastings algorithm proposes y∼q(⋅∣x)y \sim q(\cdot \mid x) from the current state xx and accepts it with probability α(x,y)=min⁡(1,π(y)q(x∣y)π(x)q(y∣x))\alpha(x, y) = \min\bigl(1, \frac{\pi(y)q(x \mid y)}{\pi(x)q(y \mid x)}\bigr), staying at xx otherwise; with a symmetric random-walk proposal the ratio is π(y)/π(x)\pi(y)/\pi(x). The Gibbs sampler updates one block of coordinates at a time by a draw from its conditional law given the others.

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