In a Bayesian model the parameter is random. Its prior distribution states what is believed before the data; the posterior distribution is the Bayesian update of it by the likelihood of the data (Bayes, 1763). A family of priors is a conjugate prior for a likelihood if the posterior stays in the family.
Quantitative Finance · Glossaire
Qu'est-ce que « Prior, posterior, conjugate prior » ?
Aussi appelé : prior distribution · posterior distribution · conjugate prior