The Madhavan–Richardson–Roomans model (MRR) lets the efficient price move with the surprise in the order flow and the transaction price bounce around it:
μt=μt−1+θ(xt−E[xt∣xt−1])+ut,pt=μt+ϕxt+ξt,
with xt the trade sign, E[xt∣xt−1]=ρxt−1, θ the information content of a trade and ϕ the cost that does not depend on information. The implied spread is 2(ϕ+θ) and the information share θ/(ϕ+θ).