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Quantitative Finance · Glossary

What is Forward-start option?

Definition 16.4 Derivatives and Volatility · Chapter 16 — Asians, Lookbacks, Cliquets and Forward-Starts

A forward-start option is an option whose strike is fixed at a future date t1t_1 as a proportion kk of the spot then, K=kSt1K=kS_{t_1}, and which expires at t2>t1t_2>t_1. It pays (St2−kSt1)+(S_{t_2}-kS_{t_1})^+ for a call.

The one-month smile six months from now, as forecast by two models that fit the same surface today, against today’s one-month smile. Local volatility’s forward smile is nearly flat; Heston’s keeps a skew and a smile. Data: the tutorial.
Figure 16.3. The one-month smile six months from now, as forecast by two models that fit the same surface today, against today’s one-month smile. Local volatility’s forward smile is nearly flat; Heston’s keeps a skew and a smile. Data: the tutorial.

Examples

Example 16.5 (Two forward smiles from one surface)

Chapter 9’s local volatility and chapter 10’s Heston model are both fitted to chapter 9’s surface: they reprice its one-year at-the-money call at 19.19% and 18.99% against the market’s 19.19%. Their one-month smiles starting in six months are very different (Figure 16.3). Local volatility gives 23.9% at 94%, 21.5% at the money and 21.3% at 106%, almost flat. Heston gives 24.0%, 18.5% and 20.0%, with a skew and a smile. Today’s one-month smile runs from 19.6% to 14.9% to 12.0%. Local volatility flattens the future smile, as chapter 9 found. Heston keeps its shape, and Bergomi observed that its forward smiles are more convex than today’s.

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