For strategies with performance series in excess of a benchmark, the Reality Check (White, 2000) tests with the statistic , whose null distribution is estimated by the bootstrap of . The superior predictive ability test (Hansen, 2005) studentises each and recentres only the strategies that are not clearly worse than the benchmark, so that adding poor strategies to the search does not make the test more conservative.
Quantitative Finance · Glossário
O que é Reality Check, superior predictive ability test?
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